The Long Shot: That first-year Denver quarterback Paxton Lynch takes home the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award.

The Odds: 25/1 (via Paddy Power).

Why It’ll Happen: Lynch, the 26th pick in last year’s draft out of Memphis, has all the tools to be a stud in the NFL. He’s 6-foot-6 with good feet and a hose for an arm. The only reason that he’s a long shot is because he’s currently a backup to Trevor Siemian.

Lynch has a defense that will shut down the opposing team and give him opportunities in the red zone, and he has experienced receivers that will make big plays for him.

Siemian, a 7th round pick in 2015 out of Northwestern, has played in only one NFL regular season game and will be starting his first tonight. To say that he has the starting job on lockdown would be foolish. The reason he’s even starting over Lynch is because of his experience; he was on last year’s Super Bowl winning team. Once Paxton Lynch gets the reps and shows the coaching staff that he is comfortable with the offense, he will be the starter. That should happen within the next month.

As soon as Lynch becomes the starter, we expect him to be a Rookie of the Year frontrunner. He has a defense that will shut down the opposing team and give him opportunities in the red zone, and he has experienced receivers (Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders) that will make big plays for him. Which means we like Lynch’s chances to lead all rookies in touchdown passes and ultimately claim the Offensive Rookie of the Year award.

But if you aren’t sold on Lynch for some reason, go with the 100/1 shot, Christian Hackenberg. Knowing the Jets, he could be the starter within a month too.