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Week 5 review: the Lions weren’t overly impressive on Monday night but our survivor pick still secured a double-digit win. Meanwhile, the Vikings scored 28 points in the first quarter and for once didn’t blow a huge lead, scoring us a victory against the spread. This week, we like the Packers and Ravens. We’re also high on the Bills, Vikings and 49ers (with friend of Made Man Patrick Willis) against the number if you need to get back in the game.

 

Straight Up

GREEN BAY over St. Louis

The Packers will not go undefeated. While widely acknowledged as the best team in the league, they have flaws on defense and the running game is pedestrian. However, they are at home against the hapless Rams, and this game should be over by the midpoint of the second quarter. Look for Aaron Rodgers to riddle the Rams secondary with passes to Jordy Nelson, Greg Jennings and Donald Driver. Sam Bradford deserves respect even if his numbers are down this year. St. Louis will get a couple of meaningless second-half touchdowns, but Packers should win easy.

GREEN BAY 38, St. Louis 21

 

Against the Spread

BALTIMORE (-6 ½) over Houston

The Ravens have not been ultra-consistent—remember the Week Two loss to the Titans—but they are well-positioned to take apart the injured Texans. Baltimore is coming off its bye week and faces a team that won’t have their best players on either side of the ball, Andre Johnson or Mario Williams. Look for Ray Rice and ol’ Ricky Williams to soften up the Houston defense before Joe Flacco goes over the top and takes the Texans down with late TD passes.

BALTIMORE 35, Houston 24

 

Steve Silverman has covered the NFL for three decades, worked for Pro Football Weekly and written four NFL books. He wrote the NFL Preview…in Haiku!, and every week this season, he supplies his survivor pool picks. Trust him—he knows what he’s doing.