We were tempted to take the Bills getting 9 points at home against the Pats, but the matchup of Bill Belichick vs. Chan Gailey was too much to stomach. Our suicide picks are 2-0 while the spread picks have gone the other way. Nothing wrong with Week Two’s Bills pick over Raiders in the second half, but the first-half Buffalo shuffle kept us from collecting. This week we like bolts and beasts.

 

Straight Up

SAN DIEGO over Kansas City

This one is so obvious it’s scary. The Chargers played well in losing at New England in Week Two, and Philip Rivers goes back home with a chip on his shoulder. The Chiefs have been pitiful the first two weeks in losing to the Bills and Lions by huge margins. Matt Cassel has taken a step back and he won’t get any help from the sieve-like offensive line. Meanwhile, KC’s secondary has no answers for wide receiver Vincent Jackson, who can make big plays at any time. Rivers is completing a sick 70.6 percent of his passes. Game’ll be over midway through the second quarter.

SAN DIEGO 38, Kansas City 14

 

Against the Spread

Detroit -3 ½ over MINNESOTA

Let’s do our best to bury Donovan McNabb. He is old, slow and ineffective. The last thing he needs to see is ferocious defensive heavies like Kyle Vanden Bosch and Ndamukong Suh. On the other side, Matthew Stafford is coming into his own with 599 passing yards, 7 touchdown passes, a 65.3 completion rate and no injuries. Nobody in the Viking secondary can stay with Calvin Johnson, the best receiver in the NFL. That may not be official yet, but it is true. Lions pound Vikings in the second half.

Detroit 35, MINNESOTA 17

 

Steve Silverman has covered the NFL for three decades, worked for Pro Football Weekly and written four NFL books. He wrote the NFL Preview…in Haiku!, and every week this season, he supplies his survivor pool picks. Trust him—he knows what he’s doing.